Macron has a slight presence in the polls but the twists and turns are not to be dismissed. He drew a scene that was not decisive in the first round two weeks ago, leaving everything in suspense: the outgoing president was in the lead with 27.8% of the vote, with the contestant in second place with 23.1%. In third place, however, was one point behind, with the “Tribune” of Jean-Luc Mன்சlenchon, the far left of the French Inchemis, coming in with 22% of the vote.
The leftists did not openly side with Macron
– The overwhelming majority of an orphaned left-wing candidate in the polls says one in three voters will vote for Macron. Most of the extreme left-wingers will stay at home, simply vote or elect Le Pen.
Central-right voters are also divided
– Similar uncertainties lie to the right of the Republicans, who nominated Valerie Begres for Elysee and utterly failed the presidency, which was less than 5% completed. Even on the right, the large temperate reservoir should be divided between those who want to leave the more extreme right and those who were closer to Eric Gemmer than the moderates.
– In the second round of 25 to 30%, opinion polls suggest that the boulder-weighted share of voting objectives allotted to both candidates in these two weeks will be a record in the second round: between 53 and 57% for Macron, 43 to 47% for Le Pen, and again 3 With an error margin of -3.2%. For the outgoing president, it is still much lower than the 66% he won in the election five years ago, reducing his opponent to 34%. Until the last rally or last election meeting, both candidates urged their supporters to go and vote without voting.
In a face-to-face interview on television on Wednesday, the clear majority – 59% and 39% – said they prefer Macron over Le Pen. Heavy conflict between the two especially in matters like economy, security, school, pension. Notably, on the left, Mன்சlenchon declared himself the “candidate” for prime minister and called on his people to vote overwhelmingly in the June assembly elections to elect a new parliament. When asked which of the two presidents he would like to run for “cooperation”, he said he had no choice. According to many analysts, the renewal of the so-called “third round” parliament in France will be more important than ever, because in this case there are no conditions for a parliamentary majority other than the presidential election.
Waiting for the EU –
Almost all of Europe is closely watching the outcome of the French referendum. Macron is not only the current chairman of the EU semester, but also one of the (few) leaders who will find Brussels firm support at the end of the Merkel era. Ukraine is more important than ever with Europe embroiled in war. In Brussels, while polls give the outgoing president an advantage, more than one analyst warns optimists by reminding him of what happened with Brexit and Donald Trump’s victory in the United States.
In other parts of Europe, the war in Ukraine has changed the perspective of many countries. If it is not a mystery that the government in Hungary is rooted for Le Pen, in Mateusz Morawiecki’s Poland until a few weeks ago, the President’s friendship of the Rassemblement National with Moscow weighed heavily. Of course, even in the EU, yes to Macron is not without criticism. In the EPP, they will like the rivalry between the outgoing president and Republican Valerie Beckress. Greens are fighting to forgive Elise’s tenant role for nuclear power. But in front of the populist wall the vast majority of the so-called “Metzola majority” will cheer for only one name: Macron.
Who is Marine Lee Ben
Real name Marion Anne Perrine Le Pen. Born on August 5, 1968, in the residential suburb of Neully-sur-Seine, Paris, she was the daughter of Jean-Marie Le Pen, founder of the Front National, France’s far-right group. He joined his father’s party at the age of 18, and in 1998 he received his first political mandate as Nord-Pas-de-Calais regional councilor. Within the party, the first positive election results recognize him as a potential future leader, and he begins to form groups and internal organizations that will shape the future of the “destroyed” movement. His first appearances on TV created his new character on the right and in 2004 he was selected as MEP. His father’s defeat in the 2007 presidential election was offset by his excellent score. He begins to form “his” party, focusing more on the less difficult and popular classes. Until he becomes the leader of the National Front after his parents in 2011, he is dismissing his father’s lieutenants one by one. And “anti-liberal” he gets 17.90% in the 2012 presidential election, improving his father’s exploitation in 2002. He begins to take root in the ground, winning local elections and – in parallel – the family war. The father was sidelined by the party and rejected for his extreme positions. In 2015, Jean-Marie Le Pen was expelled from the party he founded. In 2017, the Marines came to the polls for the presidency, but stumbled face-to-face on television against young candidate Emmanuel Macron. In the 2022 presidential election, when it appears he should be ousted by far-right rival Eric Gemmer, he still wins the ballot, always against Macron. She has three children by her first husband, Frank Saffroy, who divorced in 2000 and remarried to Eric Ireo 2 years later. New divorce in 2006. She has been with Friend National Secretary General Louis Alliot since 2009 and separated from him in September 2019.
Who is Emmanuel Macron?
Born in Amiens on December 21, 1977, he was the 8th President of the Republic. He studied philosophy before joining the prestigious ENA School of Management. After being a commercial banker in Rothschild, his career in financial general study finds him very young. In politics he approaches the citizens’ movement of the left-wing sovereign Jean-Pierre Chevenement, then Michel Rocard’s Socialists but the turning point in 2012 when he was appointed deputy general secretary to the presidency under Franுவாois Hollande. The latter appointed him Minister of Economy in August 2014 to replace Arnaud Montebourg. He immediately creates controversy by enacting legislation regulating Sunday work, with the intention of introducing himself later as “En Marche!” Created his own movement called.
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